PTEN: stopped out --- small loss
reenter PTEN -- small gain -- but was good for .30 - sold too early
HES: enter on pattern - was good for .30 - sold too early
ATPG: weakness -- bot it at lows and still could have gotten a dime -- closed weak. So the only one that should have been dumped early.
also traded NBR which was showing strength and caught a nice .80 move in managed account -- finished at the sell price... best trade -- focus on what was strong.
/zb -- great entry with less than 2 ticks heat -- would have been great for 10 ticks -- sold out too early.
sold/held YHOO (loser - finished at lows...)
overall -- should have been a very decent day. But it wasn't. Have to accept uncertainty. Selling winners is just too expensive a habit.
Monday, January 30, 2012
Saturday, January 28, 2012
trading specifics
watched /tf sink on the open -- bought the first break off the steep early selloff -- sold much too early as it was pretty much lows of the day... NEED TO HOLD early winners
also bot YHOO and sold for small gain -- it was a winner off the bat
i need to accept losses -- setting stops and accepting that to win - i must lose small and I must allow the winners to grow and they will overcome the small losses.
I am sabotaging myself with fear of taking trades.
I also tried shorting /tf -- despite the strong market and did okay hitting tops. I didn't take a clear trade in /cl which was a perfect entry with no drawdown... again, too fearful to take a chance.
I see good traders buying support / selling resistance and holding for much longer.
I also see these patterns -- channels or ranges and when they resolve.... that's often a good time to enter as you will either catch a big trend or get stopped out quick. Usually the market signals are pretty clear which way it'll break... especially after 10:00.
I need to write down my trades more often. And catch more 'in play' names -- get in them with small stops of .20 losses or less. Three big losers have thrown off my entire confidence and that shouldn't be such a big deal. I never should have allowed big draws... set stops... take losses and take gains.
I need to focus on EXECUTION of clear entries and set stops with proper sizing.
also bot YHOO and sold for small gain -- it was a winner off the bat
i need to accept losses -- setting stops and accepting that to win - i must lose small and I must allow the winners to grow and they will overcome the small losses.
I am sabotaging myself with fear of taking trades.
I also tried shorting /tf -- despite the strong market and did okay hitting tops. I didn't take a clear trade in /cl which was a perfect entry with no drawdown... again, too fearful to take a chance.
I see good traders buying support / selling resistance and holding for much longer.
I also see these patterns -- channels or ranges and when they resolve.... that's often a good time to enter as you will either catch a big trend or get stopped out quick. Usually the market signals are pretty clear which way it'll break... especially after 10:00.
I need to write down my trades more often. And catch more 'in play' names -- get in them with small stops of .20 losses or less. Three big losers have thrown off my entire confidence and that shouldn't be such a big deal. I never should have allowed big draws... set stops... take losses and take gains.
I need to focus on EXECUTION of clear entries and set stops with proper sizing.
Monday, January 23, 2012
uncertainty
dealing with uncertainty.
1) the only thing i can be certain of - mostly - is how much I will lose on each trade. Once I give that up by 'hoping for the best' or 'relying on valuation' -- I will always -- always end up selling for a much bigger loss than intended.
I also fear losing a small gain and hence rarely make large gains. The correct strategy is to raise the stops on swings and daytrades.
It is not enough for a stock to stop going down to buy it -- it must be GOING UP. This means there must be some kind of base pattern or news/catalyst/volume surge to suggest a sustained move that can generate reasonable profits.
Confidence comes from following rules. Losing trades is not a confidence buster ... not following a strategy is. Follow charts -- to establish support levels. These levels are all that matters. Trading is primarily a psychological game -- not a math game. Once you give up your psychological edge -- by falling into feelings of fear/regret... you give up everything.
Try talking out loud -- establishing what you see from a different part of your brain to avoid allowing emotional trading (fear) take over. A trade has a clear plan and does not need to be extended (to avoid taking a loser) or ended abruptly (after a quick/small profit). Let the market dictate the appropriate end of the trade. You can only control the first loss and the entry. (
1) the only thing i can be certain of - mostly - is how much I will lose on each trade. Once I give that up by 'hoping for the best' or 'relying on valuation' -- I will always -- always end up selling for a much bigger loss than intended.
I also fear losing a small gain and hence rarely make large gains. The correct strategy is to raise the stops on swings and daytrades.
It is not enough for a stock to stop going down to buy it -- it must be GOING UP. This means there must be some kind of base pattern or news/catalyst/volume surge to suggest a sustained move that can generate reasonable profits.
Confidence comes from following rules. Losing trades is not a confidence buster ... not following a strategy is. Follow charts -- to establish support levels. These levels are all that matters. Trading is primarily a psychological game -- not a math game. Once you give up your psychological edge -- by falling into feelings of fear/regret... you give up everything.
Try talking out loud -- establishing what you see from a different part of your brain to avoid allowing emotional trading (fear) take over. A trade has a clear plan and does not need to be extended (to avoid taking a loser) or ended abruptly (after a quick/small profit). Let the market dictate the appropriate end of the trade. You can only control the first loss and the entry. (
Thursday, January 5, 2012
why rush?
saw that MRVL -- cheap stock was gapping up due to news tied to GOOG. Bought premarket. Bought for myself -- got a bad fill. Started rising and I immediately sold it for chump change... watched it rise the rest of the day even though I knew it was 4 points undervalued. Why the fear? Why not just hold? Why not trust your valuation / market? Fear is the death of all trading. Sold DWA from fear. Good stocks will rise. GDXJ -- sold too early.
Please give me the faith to hold winners longer. Trust the universe a little bit. Let go of your fear.
Please give me the faith to hold winners longer. Trust the universe a little bit. Let go of your fear.
Tuesday, January 3, 2012
ripper trend down
market gapped up huge but it was actually a trend DOWN day intraday despite TREND UP day internals. Thus -- selling the open was the right call.
I sold STJ/HAS which both closed lower and got out of DWA after a bounce instead of selling the open. Easy money should be taken because there is no easy money.
Stocks like GDXJ -- were up 3 points from my original entry last week. Biggest problem is being patient. I took the heat. Take the reward too. The market will mean revert and you must trust yourself and the mean reversion process.
I did not trade futures although I made a few nice calls. It was hard to go long since most of the day was trend down. So patience is okay. There were big moves in commodities/ferts. Trust your valuation process.
Probably 90% of my buys end up going green but I probably sell half for a loss. Think about that. The key is to keep position size smaller to hold on.
I sold STJ/HAS which both closed lower and got out of DWA after a bounce instead of selling the open. Easy money should be taken because there is no easy money.
Stocks like GDXJ -- were up 3 points from my original entry last week. Biggest problem is being patient. I took the heat. Take the reward too. The market will mean revert and you must trust yourself and the mean reversion process.
I did not trade futures although I made a few nice calls. It was hard to go long since most of the day was trend down. So patience is okay. There were big moves in commodities/ferts. Trust your valuation process.
Probably 90% of my buys end up going green but I probably sell half for a loss. Think about that. The key is to keep position size smaller to hold on.
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