1. Identify overall trend direction.
2. Look for a Clear Trendline established by 3 touches. Short/long the break with tight stop.
Most of time the market is chopping around -- trying to establish a clear trend line. Once the Trend Line emerges (look at 5 or 15 min. candles for clarity -- harder to see on 1-min charts) -- then the Market recognizes where the buyers/sellers agree. The move from there is then based on the Higher Timeframe trend.
3. Trail stop.
Could also wait for 5 period to x-over 9 period on sharp moves -- keeps you in the trend.
The move will be sharp and fast. It's the waiting for the proper set up that is hard.
The 3 touches is the establishing/distribution or accumulation before the break. It's necessary to fuel to impending move.
4. The Move often ends with exhaustion -- signalled by
a) huge volume candle, often through a whole number (stop orders)
b) break of the sharp trendline (green 1-min candles)
Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Monday, September 17, 2012
Emotions get in the way
I constantly fear losing profits and so take quick profits -- and miss the moves.
Natural emotions are a trader's enemy. My plan was good for 2 points but I took a LOSS instead. I did not follow my plan.
I must override my emotions which cause me to make the same mistake over and over. The fear of losing a small profit into a loss is simply part of the natural risk.
I need a way to interrupt my problematic thinking. Either leaving the room -- something physical to remind me to follow the plan, not the emotions that creep into every trade.
In general -- being patient with winners is my problem. The solution is the act of doing nothing. Why is this so hard?
Natural emotions are a trader's enemy. My plan was good for 2 points but I took a LOSS instead. I did not follow my plan.
I must override my emotions which cause me to make the same mistake over and over. The fear of losing a small profit into a loss is simply part of the natural risk.
I need a way to interrupt my problematic thinking. Either leaving the room -- something physical to remind me to follow the plan, not the emotions that creep into every trade.
In general -- being patient with winners is my problem. The solution is the act of doing nothing. Why is this so hard?
Wednesday, September 5, 2012
Rangebound Strategy
In a range,
A simple strategy of entering breaks of straight trendlines works best. It gets you in as early as possible and gets you out as soon as the run hits a support and bounces.
Each trade only requires a 10tick stop.
A simple strategy of entering breaks of straight trendlines works best. It gets you in as early as possible and gets you out as soon as the run hits a support and bounces.
Each trade only requires a 10tick stop.
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